Document Type : Research Paper

Author

• Alireza Kazemi

School of Analytic Philosophy, Institute for Research in Fundamental Sciences

Abstract

According to the principle of indifference, we have to attribute equal probabilities to the alternatives that are equally possible. Beyond being intuitive on its own, the principle of indifference plays a significant role in various interpretations of probability. Nonetheless, a group of paradoxes has been found against this principle which seriously challenges its consistency. In this paper, I argue that the rules that M. Baqer Sadr has developed in his “Brief Knowledge” interpretation of probability, particularly the governance principle, provide distinctive resources for offering a novel, coherent, and plausible answer to all of these paradoxes. Consequently, it not only vindicates the principle of indifference from the charge of inconsistency but also lends credence to Sadr’s theory of probability.

Keywords

• the principle of Indifference
• classical interpretation of probability
• brief knowledge Interpretation of probability
• M. Baqer Sadr
• Bertrand’s paradox
• Wine-Water paradox